Fantasy Football is something that we all want and need, it is something that we are passionate about, something to spend time with friends, and a new way to watch football.
With the 49ers victory tonight over the Browns we are officially done with week 5, and that means it is time to analyze our fantasy football draft.
Most experts including myself, gave advice to draft the following players with your first pick in the first round of your fantasy football draft:
- S. Barkley
- A. Kamara
- C. McCaffrey
- E. Elliott
- D. Hopkins
- D. Johnson
- M. Thomas
- D. Adams
- J. Jones
- T. Hill
- O. Beckham
- L. Bell
Not necessarily in that order.
Some also had J. Mixon, T. Kelce and T. Gurley in their first round rankings.
We also provided our yearly strategy to pass on Quarterbacks and head for the skill positions early, and as seen by the ranking, we have no QBs taken.
Some people, did draft QBs in the first round, and took a gamble on Patrick Mahomes.
But in the end, must of us came away happy with our picks.
Week 5 Fantasy Football Analysis
After 5 weeks in the NFL, we only have two undefeated teams, the Patriots and the surprising 49ers, and just like that, you or several of your friends are undefeated in their fantasy football leagues as well.
Now, this article is not to provide advice, but to analyze if our 1st round draft strategy was a success.
As we all know, the NFL is first a business and then a sport of contact, so holdouts and injuries are always considered in our draft.
But like most things in life, they are very difficult to predict, thus players are drafted ahead of others, or some even drop onto the later rounds (I grabbed Zeke Elliot with the 22nd pick in one of my leagues).
Anyway, after 5 weeks, this are the top scorers in Fantasy Football:
- Christian McCafrrey
- Austin Ekeler
- Russell Wilson
- Patrick Mahomes
- Dalvin Cook
- Deshaun Watson
- Lamar Jackson
- Chris Godwin
- Michael Thomas
- Cooper Kupp
- Dak Prescott
- Amari Cooper
Aaron Jones, Matt Ryan and D.J. Chalk round of the top 15.
What It All Means
If we go back to our pre-draft strategies, only two out of the top 15 were in our list.
Plus we have 6 Qbs in our top 15, and we are not supposed to take a Quarterback until the later mid-rounds.
We also have a wide receiver whose teammate Dede Westbrook outranked him from the start that probably went un-drafted in some leagues in D.J. Chark.
In other words, it takes more luck than strategy to have a successful first round, or it may seem.
If we go back and take a look at the performance of our top 12 pre-draft players through 5 weeks:
- S. Barkley – 23rd among RB’s
- A. Kamara – 5th among Rb’s
- C. McCaffrey – 1st overall
- E. Elliott – 12th among Rb’s
- D. Hopkins – 17th among Wr’s
- D. Johnson – 6th among Rb’s
- M. Thomas – 2nd among Wr’s
- D. Adams – 33rd among Wr’s
- J. Jones – 7th among Wr’s
- T. Hill – N/R
- O. Beckham – 37th among Wr’s
- L. Bell – 17th among Rb’s
While factors like quarterback play, teams learning new offenses, top five defenses, and injuries can affect your players performance.
It is astonishing that 91% of the top 12 fantasy football ranked players are underperforming.
Is this a reason to panic? No
What To Do
Fantasy football owners should be patient with their first round draft choices and in fact, should seek to acquire any of the one’s on the list from desperate owners.
Barkley is recovering at a superman pace, Kamara and Thomas are close to getting Drew Brees back.
Deshaun Watson just threw five touchdowns so eventually he has to start going to Hopkins.
Adams was having one of the best games of his life before he got hurt. Hill is coming back from injury. Darnold is almost out of his Mono sickness, so that offense could get a spark.
In the end, everything points up, and it looks like those players will get back their ranks.
However, we still have to consider that maybe, just maybe, there is a change of the guard for those top spots, and it is time to trade one of those stars for two or three players in the updated ranking.
I wouldn’t mind acquiring a Cooper Kupp, Patrick Mahomes or Dalvin Cook to update my roster.
Anyway, thanks for stopping by and reading my article. Feel free to comment below or follow me on twitter at @dre2124. You can also check out one of my previous articles here
For more Fantasy Football advice head on over to Overtime Heroics.