Written By: Tom Witt – Twitter: @sactowncrown
The Sacramento Kings start the 2020-21 season on Wednesday 12/23 on the road against the Denver Nuggets.
Ahead, I outline my Sacramento Kings 2020-21 win-loss predictions for the first 18 games of the season.
I decided to break down the season into ‘quarters’ (72 games divided by 4 = 18 games) – so this is the ‘first quarter’ of my predictions!
Glance Back at 2019-20
The Sacramento Kings finished the 2019-20 season with a 31-41 record – 12th in the NBA Western Conference.
An early 2020 hot streak saw the Kings go 13-7 over a 20 game stretch. That streak was brought to an end just seconds before their first and ONLY national television broadcast of the year on March 11th – due to coronavirus concerns.
Kings Must Improve ‘Foul Play’
Sacramento was also plagued by sub-par foul shooting and too much fouling on defense.
According to Basketball-Reference – last season, the Kings ranked 27th in the NBA in personal fouls – committing an average of 19.5 per game!
Sacramento ranked 29th in the NBA in free throw percentage – shooting an average of 79% as a team over the season.
Those are areas that will NEED to improve for the Kings to have any shot at battling for the playoffs, in the short or long term.
Sactown Crown 2020/21 Win-Loss Predictions – Game 1-18
12/23 – at Denver Nuggets
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (0-1)
12/26 – vs. Phoenix Suns
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (0-2)
12/27 – vs. Phoenix Suns
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (0-3)
12/29 – vs. Denver Nuggets
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (0-4)
12/31 – at Houston Rockets
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (1-4)
1/2/21 – at Houston Rockets
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (1-5)
1/4 – at Golden State Warriors
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (2-5)
1/6 – vs. Chicago Bulls
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (3-5)
1/8 – vs. Toronto Raptors
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (3-6)
1/9 – vs. Portland Trailblazers
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (3-7)
1/11 – vs. Indiana Pacers
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (4-7)
1/13 – vs. Portland Trailblazers
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (4-8)
1/15 – vs. LA Clippers
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (4-9)
1/17 – vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (5-9)
1/20 – at LA Clippers
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (5-10)
1/22 – vs. New York Knicks
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (6-10)
1/24 – at Memphis Grizzlies
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – LOSS (6-11)
1/25 – at Memphis Grizzlies
Sactown Crown Report Prediction – WIN (7-11)
I predict the Kings will start 7-11 in their first 18 games of this 72 game season.
How do your Sacramento Kings 2020-21 win-loss predictions compare to mine? Let me know on my Twitter – Sactown Crown Report
Health Will Determine a Lot
The health of the Kings will determine A LOT during this season and in the future. Also, selfishly, it will be a large factor in how well I do in my Sacramento Kings 2020-21 win-loss predictions.
The Kings were plagued by the injury bug during the 2019-20 season. As a team, they really never had their full lineup healthy and available at the same time all season.
Marvin Bagley III was sidelined with multiple injuries during his first two seasons in the NBA, which slowed his personal development as a player and the Kings development as a team.
Doug Christie recently went on the Deuce & Mo Podcast where he discussed, among many things, why he thinks Marvin Bagley III is the ‘X-factor’ for the Kings.
Richaun Holmes was a huge bright spot for the Kings last season but missed much of the end of the season with a shoulder injury.
Even De’Aaron Fox has been a bit injury prone – which is often due to him having to ‘take over’ for the Kings offensively.
When Fox takes over, it means he usually will be driving into the lane, running the fast break and putting his still developing NBA body into harms way.
As the Kings develop more scoring threats around Fox, his injury risk should lessen.
If the Kings can stay relatively healthy, they will not only benefit from added playing time together but will also give their ‘higher level’ opponents fits.
COVID Protocol Could HELP Sacramento?
The COVID situation in the NBA will be interesting.
Hear me out here …
WHAT IF the Kings stay healthy, and just happen to play teams in the league when they are short handed.
Whether that means the Lakers rest LeBron James versus the Kings OR a team that has a few key players out from COVID protocol.
Obviously, the Kings can just as easily be struck by COVID protocols but we shall see how that unfolds.
The Kings Will Not Be .500 or Above at ANY Point This Season
I do not think the Kings will reach the .500 mark or higher over the season – unless it MAYBE happens in the first four games of the season.
Carmichael Dave of KHTK 1140 AM radio in Sacramento posted a poll on his Twitter asking his followers if the Kings will be above .500 this season – over 1000 voters chimed in, below are the results:
Predictably Negative Fan Predictions
It’s inevitable … Kings fans will be frustrated that the team will most likely be missing the playoffs for a 15th straight season.
There will be a point in the season where Kings fans will call for the FIRING of head coach Luke Walton. It’s not IF, it’s WHEN.
If Marvin Bagley III gets ANY sort of injury, knick, bruise, scrape, etc. Kings fans will start calling local Kings radio shows, explaining to Doug Christie why Bagley is a bust and must be shipped out for cash and a round of golf at Haggin Oaks.
There will be negativity over the NECESSARY struggles De’Aaron Fox will go through in terms of his three-point shot.
But, that’s ok.
Kings fans are passionate, frustrated, and they want to buy some DAMN playoff gear!
I can’t wait for my FEEL THE ROAR 2.0 window placard to be displayed in my car window, like its 2001, driving down HWY 5 getting cut off in rush hour Sactown traffic. AHHHH, a man can dream, right?
Kings In The National Media
Kings general manager Monte McNair joined Adrian Wojnarowski on his podcast – ‘The Woj Pod’ on ESPN. He goes over A LOT in the 40-minute interview – how he got the job with the Kings, his history with the Rockets, how he LOVES the Sacramento Kings fanbase, and MORE!
Check back for Part 2-4 of Sacramento Kings 2020-21 Win-Loss Predictions!