Chris Carson, a well know fantasy football asset, is a free-agent and all signs indicate that he will be playing elsewhere in 2021. This leaves the Seahawks with a massive question at running back. But Seattle’s run game has been a solid investment for most of the past decade and with the edition of Shane Waldron and Andy Dickerson to the offensive staff, there will be plenty of opportunities for the Seattle backfield to capitalize.
Naturally, the void of a top back creates a vacuum of opportunity for the fantasy manager. Rashaad Penny is a first-round back who has flashed some serious upside and is entering what is basically his contract season. There is no shortage of crutch arguments to make Penny an appealing player in dynasty leagues, and for the right price, he might be worth investing in.
Some may tell you to grab the 2020 fourth-round pick DeeJay Dallas, who played decently during the absence of Carson, Penny, and Carlos Hyde. Dallas also flashed and the Seahawks coaching staff is excited about his future.
But with free agency and the NFL Draft ahead of us, it’s tough to know where to turn, because either could lose the job in weeks. It might seem easier to steer clear until we get more clarity. But the difference between a championship and a fringe playoff contender could be the lottery ticket you purchase in March. So let’s talk about my favorite fantasy football dynasty lottery ticket: Alex Collins.
Fantasy Football: Alex Collins Potential Value
After being selected by the Seahawks in the 5th round of the 2016 draft, Collins was unable to crack the roster in 2017 and was picked up before the regular season by the Baltimore Ravens. Collins would become a league winner that year, rushing for 973 yards and six touchdowns. Collins was unable to follow up his breakout season in 2018 and missed all of 2019 after a March first car crash in which Collins was in possession of a firearm and marijuana. Collins would plead guilty to the charges and received 18 months probation.
But Collins found his way back to Seattle and although his production was modest in limited opportunities, what he flashed is hard to ignore. On 18 attempts he rushed for 77 yards and scored two touchdowns. But a closer look at those run plays shows that the 26-year-old still has the same tools he did in 2017. Let’s look at one of his touchdown runs:
In this run, we see everything that Collins has to offer: vision, lateral quickness, and power to finish off the run. He puts number 24, Taylor Rapp, in the dirt with a quick cut and follows his blocks beautifully into the endzone against what was arguably the best defense in the league. Collins didn’t receive nearly the amount of work he deserved, playing fourth string to Chris Carson, Carlos Hyde, and Dallas. However, the tape makes it clear that Collins was second only to Carson in terms of talent. Let’s look at another example:
Again, we see power, vision, agility, and decisiveness all in one play, this time in an outside stretch run, the bread and butter of new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. In this run, Collins beats Cedric Thornton to the edge, then puts Joe Williams on his knees with an easy cut move before carrying Thornton into the end zone for a game-winning touchdown.
Collins still possesses the same speed, power, vision, and agility he did with the Ravens in his breakout season and there are now more than 220 carries up for grabs with the departure of Carson and Carlos Hyde. While the Seahawks very well could bring in another rookie or a veteran free agent, Collins will remain the cheapest and easiest to back acquire in the Seahawks’ backfield. Collins could very well end up being the most talented of that group and the most durable. Check your waiver wire right now. Is Collins owned? The odds are that he is free to pick up right now in a majority of fantasy football leagues.
The cost of a potential 750-1,000 yard rusher may be a single roster spot. Is that a price you’re unwilling to pay?
Thank you for reading my article on the Alex Collins potential fantasy football value in dynasty formats!
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