UFC 260 is fast approaching and this card is something every fight fan shouldn’t ever miss. Headlining the event is a rematch 3 years in the making between two of the baddest fighters in the world. Stipe Miocic attempts to be lead the history books as the champion with most title defenses for a heavyweight. Francis Ngannou, on the other hand, looks to have a successful second shot at the heavyweight gold.
In this article, I lay down my UFC 260 best bets. I’m going to give in-depth breakdowns on each of my five picks and explain why I think these are the best bets on this stacked UFC 260 card.
UFC 260 Best Bets
Francis Ngannou vs Stipe Miocic Over 1 ½ rounds (-140)
My best bet in the main event between Francis Ngannou and Stipe Miocic is going to be the Over 1 ½ rounds at -140. In their first fight, Stipe won in a dominant decision with all three judges scoring the bout 50-44.
Stipe’s game plan in the first fight was to wrestle Francis as much as possible and drain Francis’ gas tank. I believe that once again this will be Stipe’s game plan to beat Francis. With that being said, to say that Francis has not improved in the past two years would be crazy.
I expect this fight to be a lot more competitive this time around. My only worry with picking the Over 1 ½ rounds is that Francis has the power to end this fight with one punch. Although, I see the first round being more of a feeling-out process, with a much more calculated version of Francis.
Francis will most likely look to conserve his energy in the early rounds because of the way the first fight unfolded. Stipe will also look to test Francis’ takedown defense early in the fight, to gauge the improvement Francis has made in the past two years.
I don’t see an early finish for Stipe, so I will most likely hedge my over bet with Francis to win in the first round at +200. I think Francis will win this fight in the 3rd round or even late into the 2nd. If you like Stipe to win. I would say that the Over 1 ½ rounds is the safer bet because you will not have to worry about Stipe getting caught in the later rounds.
Sean O’Malley Wins Inside the Distance (-125)
Sean O’Malley returns to the octagon as a sizeable favorite against Thomas Almeida. The UFC knows exactly what they’re doing by booking this matchup. It is no secret that the UFC wants Sean O’Malley to be a superstar.
Matching Sean up against Thomas Almeida who is a primary striker that doesn’t have a great defense or a good chin and has a notable name is a good move from the UFC. O’Malley’s loss against Marlon Vera does not discredit the striking ability that O’Malley has.
I see O’Malley knocking Almeida out in the 2nd round or even earlier than that. All O’Malley needs to do is land one clean shot on Almeida’s chin and he will get the finish quickly after that. I can’t bet O’Malley as a -315 favorite because of the injury problems that have happened in previous fights. I think O’Malley to win inside the distance at -125 is the way to go.
Fabio Cherant Wins (+220)
My favorite underdog pick on the card is Fabio Cherant at +200 against Alonzo Menifield. Cherant is taking this fight on 3 days’ notice. This short notice of a fight would usually be bad, but I think that Cherant matches up very well against a fighter like Alonzo Menifield.
Cherant is a good counter striker, who compliments his striking with good takedown defense and slick submissions. I think that even with taking this fight on short notice, Cherant will have the cardio advantage over Menifield. Menifield has shown to have poor cardio in previous fights. Looking back to Menifield’s fight against Devin Clark, Menifield gassed out halfway through the 1st round and never got his wind back.
I think that Cherant counter striking will be important in this matchup because Menifield likes to push forward with heavy strikes especially early in the fight. Menifield often leaves his chin exposed while throwing strikes, which is where I can see Cherant landing a powerful shot. In the later rounds, Menifiled attempts to use his offensive wrestling when he is exhausted. One of Cherant’s best submissions is his guillotine choke. I see an opportunity for Cherant to submit Menifield if a labored Menifield were to try and shoot for a takedown.
If Cherant can withstand Menifield’s early offense, I see many pathways to victory for Cherant. My main concern with Cherant will be on the scale. He has missed weight in two of his last three fights, and taking this fight on short notice does not give me much confidence. He did make weight in his most recent fight on February 12th, so I’m hoping it won’t be an issue.
Miranda Maverick Wins (-165)
Miranda Maverick is one of my best bets on this card at -165 against Gillian Robertson. Miranda Maverick had an impressive UFC debut against Liana Jojua. I think that Maverick is a very tough matchup for Robertson because of her striking.
Maverick will have a large advantage in the striking. Robertson has had problems with strikers in the past, especially those that throw power shots that overwhelm her. Robertson has a great ground game, but she doesn’t have the wrestling skills to consistently take her opponents down. Maverick’s ability to defend the takedown will be a key factor for her to get the victory. If Maverick can defend a couple of takedowns early, I see her running away with the fight on the feet.
Although Maverick is not the better grappler, I expect her to defend Robertson’s takedown based on her pure physicality and strength advantages. Maverick should win by TKO in the 2nd or 3rd round, but I’m going to bet her straight up because Robertson’s toughness could send this to a decision.
Vicente Luque Wins Inside the Distance (+150)
My last best bet on the UFC 260 card is Vicente Luque to win inside the distance at +150 against Tyron Woodley. Tyron has been dominated in each of his last three fights, and I don’t see this one going differently.
Even though Woodley has been dominated in his last three fights, two out of the three have gone to decision. What I think is different in this fight, is that Vicente Luque will not wrestle Tyron. Tyron has been outwrestled in his last three fights, which has led them to go on for longer periods of time. Vicente will look to dominate Tyron on the feet. This might be a sigh of relief for Tyron, but in no way is this fight easier than the last three.
Vicente Luque is one of the better strikers at 170, and he has a lot of power. Vicente will also back his opponent up against the cage and unload combinations. Tyron often allows opponents to back him up and forces himself to strike with his back against the cage. This is not a good idea against a striker as skilled as Luque.
The main thing that leads me to believe that Luque will finish Tryon is Tyron’s performance against Luque’s main training partner Gilbert Burns. Burns was able to hurt Tyron badly on the feet, which was surprising because Burns was known more as a grappler. Tyron could try and wrestle Luque, but considering Tyron has one takedown in his last five fights I doubt this will be an issue. Unless Tyron is a completely different fighter than he has been in his last three fights. I expect Luque to pour it on and finish Tyron in the early stages of this fight.
Let me know what you think about my UFC 260 Best Bets. This card is shaping up to be an entertaining PPV even with the late changes to the card. Hope everyone enjoys the fights!
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