UFC Vegas 48 Gambling Guide

Christian Rodriguez to win against Jonathan Pearce (+260)

It may seem risky, but something about this fight stinks like an upset. Jonathan Pearce and Christian Rodriguez are both DWCS alumni who took different paths to the UFC. Pearce was signed right out of the gate, while Rodriguez was denied a contract and accepted this fight on late notice. Since dropping a TKO loss to Joe Lauzon, Pearce has strung together two finishes in a row. On the other hand, Rodriguez has never lost, and his DWCS fight is quite impressive. In that fight, Rodriguez showed he doesn’t wilt under relentless pressure, and he also showed off high-level takedown defense throughout the entire 15-minutes. Along with his wrestling defense, Rodriguez showed off great boxing with nasty elbows mixed in. Pearce will be trying to get in his face and break him down; it’s just how he fights. Pearce is going to fight like Rodriguez owes him money, and Rodriguez is going to fight back like he’s used to fending off debtors. +260 is great value for Rodriguez since this is a good matchup for his fighting style. 

Kyle Daukuas to finish Jamie Pickett (+180)

This is the first official OTH lock of the week. Christmas has returned early because +180 is a gift. Kyle Daukuas has shown off great boxing and a slick submission game. He’s shown to have a bit of a wrestling weakness, but still has shown off impressive offense, even in losses. Jamie Pickett is taking this fight on short notice since Julian Marquez had to pull out. Even if given ample time to prepare, Pickett probably would struggle with what Daukaus brings to the table. Daukaus himself has said he expects to make quick work of Pickett. It’s reasonable to assume Kyle Daukaus stays true to his word and continues his rise through the middleweight ranks. 

Jamahal Hill to finish Johnny Walker (-165)

Jamahal Hill is the latest edition of LHW hype. Nobody has been able to stand with Hill without getting their brain rattled around their dome. His confidence in his striking ability is abundantly clear whenever he steps into the cage. These things all would have been said about Johnny Walker a few years back, but this is the nature of MMA. Since that loss to Corey Anderson, Walker has not looked like the same fighter. Since then he has seen mixed results, but this is possibly his least favorable matchup. Hill will come out of the gates aggressive and looking for the finish. According to the odds it is very likely he succeeds on his quest for a KO, but bet finish just in case Hill decides to test his submission game out. 

The Favorites Parlay (+206)

As usual, this is the most air-tight parlay you’ll find around. The favorites parlay, the lifeblood of the OTH MMA gambling guide is listed as follows.

• Jessica Rose Clark to win against Stephanie Egger (-180)
• Chas Skelly to win against Mark Striegl (-200)
• Mario Bautista to win against Jay Perrin (-320)

Jessica Rose Clark may not know how to construct an Instagram ad properly, but she sure can fight. Chas Skelly (noted insane person) is always a good person to ride with financially, and Mario Bautista is looking to get back on track against a UFC debutant.

The gambling guide has been hot, and it will stay that way. If you have any thoughts, comments, or good bets, feel free to interact and start up a discussion. Saturday night, we ride.

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