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Ultimate Betting Guide to the 2022-23 NFL Season

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We’re well on our way to the NFL regular season, with preseason almost over and September 8th right around the corner. If you’re like me, that means two things: fantasy drafts and futures bets. Hopeful to avoid bad injury luck in the next few weeks before kickoff, now is the best time for both of those things as we have a pretty clear idea of what each team will look like on the field.

We’ve put together this betting guide to some of the biggest and most-talked-about futures wagers for the 2022-23 NFL season. We’ve sourced these odds from PointsBet, but most of the top online sportsbooks in the US have similar projections for the year.

You can see the list of betting favorites below or keep scrolling for our analysis and primary takeaways from the odds.

2022-23 NFL Betting Favorites

Super Bowl Champions – Buffalo Bills (+650)

NFC Champions – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+350)

AFC Champions – Buffalo Bills (+350)

MVP Winner – Josh Allen (+700)

Defensive Player of the Year – Myles Garrett (+650)

Offensive Player of the Year – Jonathan Taylor (+1000)

Offensive Rookie of the Year – Kenny Pickett (+900)

Defensive Rookie of the Year – Aidan Hutchison (+350)

Comeback Player of the Year – Derrick Henry (+400)

Coach of the Year – Brandon Staley & Dan Campbell (+1400)

Odds from PointsBet

Bookies are Bullish on the Bills

The headline from this may very well be that the Bills are projected to have a massive season. Buffalo is the clubhouse favorite to win the AFC Championship, and Super Bowl, while their starting QB is leading in the MVP odds.

It would be a truly historic season if they were able to pull off all of those accomplishments. The last MVP to win the Super Bowl was Kurt Warner during the 1999 NFL season. In fact, the last 9 MVP winners to make the big game have fallen short (the last being Matt Ryan in 2016), so it would be a historic campaign for Joah Allen.

The Bills’ competition for the AFC Championship includes the Kansas City Chiefs (+550) and Chargers (+650) with the second and third best odds. As far as the Super Bowl odds go, the Buccaneers (+900), Chiefs (+1000), Packers (+1100), and Rams (+1100) fill out the rest of the top 5 contenders for the Lombardi.

Josh Allen’s main competition for the MVP award include Patrick Mahomes (+800), Tom Brady (+850), and Justin Herbert (+1000). Again, it is unprecedented for a player to take home the MVP and win the Super Bowl in the 21st century, so smart bettors might want to avoid going all-in with Buffalo. Apologies to Bills Mafia, but it may be wiser to hedge your bets this season.

Can Brady and the Bucs bounce back?After winning the Super Bowl two seasons ago, last season ended in disappointment for the Bucs as they fell to the Rams in the Divisional Round. The offseason was a bit of a roller coaster as well, with Todd Bowles stepping up to replace Bruce Arians as Head Coach and Tom Brady’s Grandpa Simpson meme-ing his way in and out of retirement.

PointsBet seems to think that Tampa is on its way to finding itself in the Super Bowl once again, as they are currently the betting favorite to win the NFC, albeit by the narrowest of margins. The second and third place Packers and Rams are in spitting distance at +475 and +500, respectively.

It looks to be a horse race to the Super Bowl, and Tampa hopes its GOAT has one last ride in it.

First-time Favorites for Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year Awards

After Cooper Kupp and TJ Watt each took home their first Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year Awards last season, the bookmakers think that the trend will continue, with Jonathan Taylor and Myles Garrett projected to take home the trophies.

After finishing as a runner-up last season, PointsBet projects Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year. It will be interesting to see if he can repeat the same kind of production in consecutive seasons, with the Colts replacing Carson Wentz with Matt Ryan under center. Another would-be first-timer, Justin Jefferson is the projected runner-up at +1200, while last year’s winner, Cooper Kupp sits at +1400.On the other side of the ball, it seems like only a matter of time before Myles Garrett wins the award. One of the most dominant linemen in the league will be more important than ever for Cleveland this year, as the Browns will be forced to play a backup quarterback on offense for most of the season. Three-time champion Aaron Donald is slated at second at +700, while last year’s winner TJ Watt is third at +750.

Vegas likes the Chargers and the… Lions?

Two teams that Vegas believe have a lot of potential for improvement this year are the Los Angeles Chargers and Detroit Lions. The leaps expected from each team vary, of course, but the odds seem to point to both sides making some noise this season.

For the Chargers, the challenge is to go from good to great. They were a solid team that narrowly missed the playoffs last season, but an improved defense and another year of experience for star QB Justin Herbert could catapult them into contention.

They have the third-best odds to win the AFC, and the sixth-best odds to take home the Lombardi at the end of the season. Herbert is fourth in the MVP race, while second-year Head Coach Brandon Staley is tied with Dan Campbell for the best Coach of the Year odds.

Speaking of Dan the Man, it seems as if Detroit might be making some waves this season. Maybe it’s just propaganda from Hard Knocks shifting the lines, but last year’s 3-13-1 team doesn’t look too bad to bet on. Campbell is tied for the favorite spot for Coach of the Year, while the second overall pick from this year’s, Aidan Hutchinson, Draft is projected to take home the Defensive Rookie of the Year. Not too much of a surprise given his college resume, but it is still impressive to be slotted above the likes of Kayvon Thibodeaux and first overall pick Travon Walker.

They don’t even have the worst odds to win the NFC North. That dishonor belongs to the Bears, who are at +1600, while the Lions are light years ahead at +900. Still a big longshot, but it’s nice to see this scrappy underdog team getting some love in the preseason.

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