NFL Computer Picks 2024

NFL Computer Picks Explained

Whether we like it or not, everyone has opinions about the NFL that can cloud their judgement. From what style of football is the best to which QBs are overrated, our biases are always going to creep into our sports betting picks, often without us realizing.

And that’s the beauty of NFL computer picks. Our AI algorithm uses cold hard data and hundreds of game simulations to make its decisions on moneyline, spread, and over/under wagers. These picks can help you spot hidden trends, find major discrepancies between the consensus and reality, and overall make more informed choices as a sports bettor.

Free NFL Picks

We keep our NFL AI predictions completely free because we believe that everyone deserves unfiltered access to expert betting advice. Sports betting is inherently weighted in the sportsbook’s favor and, at the end of the day, our main goal is to help you turn a profit and have fun while doing it.

For us, sports betting should be a fun outlet to add a bit of extra excitement to your NFL viewing experience without breaking the bank. By giving you great NFL picks, you can bet and still watch the games stress-free.

How to Use Our NFL Picks for Your Bets

One thing you’ll love about using our NFL computer predictions is how seamless it is. Our AI algorithm will tell you the predicted score of NFL games based on hundreds of simulations, allowing you to make bets on markets such as moneyline, spread, and over/under.

Below, we’ll be breaking down each of these bet types in further detail.

Moneyline Picks

A moneyline pick is a straightforward bet on which team will win a game, regardless of the margin of victory. For example, in a matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers, our AI algorithm identified a trend.

It found that the Ravens’ rushing attack struggled against the Niners’ elite front seven, led by Fred Warner, resulting in San Francisco winning the majority of simulations. This highlights the importance of analyzing team matchups and trends when making moneyline picks.

Spread Picks

In contrast, a spread bet takes into account the predicted margin of victory. For instance, in the Ravens vs. 49ers game, with San Francisco favored by -2.5 points on a blustery, windy day at home, our computer simulations consistently favored the 49ers to cover the spread.

This was due to their ability to stifle the Ravens’ rushing game, combined with the challenging weather conditions, which made passing difficult. Analyzing factors like weather conditions and team strengths can help inform spread picks and is an important part of our NFL computer picks against the spread.

Over/Under Picks

An over/under pick involves betting on whether the total combined score of both teams will be over or under a set number determined by oddsmakers. In the Ravens vs. Niners game, our computer analysis revealed that the game frequently hit the under.

This was attributed to the unfavorable weather conditions for passing and the presence of elite defenses on both teams, capable of containing even the NFL’s best offenses.

What is an NFL Consensus Pick?

An NFL consensus pick is simply where the majority of the betting public is placing their money. Think of it as just the majority opinion of most fans on any given wager whether it’s moneyline, spread, etc.

While the public can often be right, especially if betting trends are more noticeable for certain matchups, always following the majority is a good way to lose money in the long run. Sportsbooks often turn a profit long-term, meaning you’ll have to bet against the public on occasion to make bank.

Some bettors take to this the extreme by “fading the public” and always betting against the consensus. But we recommend approaching each bet as an individual challenge to be solved with our NFL computer picks, advanced analytics, and thorough analysis.

Our Favorite Sportsbooks to Bet on Football

Before you can start using our NFL AI picks to boost your bankroll, you’re going to need to find the right sportsbook for the job. As America’s most popular sport, you should have no problem finding an excellent online betting site to suit your needs.

Without further ado, here are ten of our favorite sportsbooks to make football betting picks on.

FanDuel

FanDuel shines as one of the best betting sites on the market, thanks to a user-friendly interface and sharp odds. What really sets them apart, though, are their robust promotions like the $5 free bet for every same-game parlay on Thursday NFL games, boosting the fun factor for sports bettors.

BetMGM

At BetMGM, customization is key. They enhance your NFL computer picks with features like boost tokens that you can personalize and promotions aligned with your NFL preferences. The standout? Their $100,000 survival pool—a high-stakes challenge that keeps the excitement at peak levels with no cost on your end.

DraftKings

DraftKings understands that the details matter. From exclusive promos and a diverse array of betting options to a VIP program that rewards dedication, they cover all bases. Plus, their straightforward platform means you can place bets with ease, keeping the focus on the game.

BetRivers

BetRivers brings reliability to the table with a strong welcome bonus and a slew of promotions, like a reliable kicker you can always count on in the clutch. NFL enthusiasts will enjoy the Bet & Get specials on primetime games, while the live stats feature enhances in-play betting, making it as thrilling as a game-winning drive.

Caesars

With decades of experience in football gambling, Caesars offers finely tuned odds and is especially strong in pre-season betting. Their annual Super Bowl sweepstakes, where fans can win a share of over $100,000 and even score game tickets, adds an extra layer of excitement to the football season, proving why they’re a powerhouse in the betting world.

ESPN BET

Like an eager rookie making a splash on their debut, ESPN BET has rapidly become a notable player among the best college football betting sites and a solid choice for NFL wagers. Their edge? Offering innovative perks such as a customizable welcome bonus and NFL overtime betting insurance—features that deliver last-minute saves akin to a goal-line stand.

Betway

Though originally a European favorite, Betway has excelled in delivering competitive NFL odds. Their standout feature is the football parlay club, where a weekly $25 bet on NFL or college football parlays nets you a $10 free bet. Combine this with a user-friendly interface and detailed in-game stats, and Betway secures its spot as one of the top online football betting sites.

Bet365

As the Sportsbook of the Year at the 2023 SBC Awards, Bet365 is a frontrunner with its extensive prop betting offerings and a flexible welcome bonus tailored to your betting preferences. They shine with their early payout feature, which treats your NFL moneyline bets as wins as soon as your team leads by 17 points, ensuring early celebrations.

Borgata

Borgata sets a high standard in football betting with its sleek, intuitive platform designed for the discerning bettor. It offers a parlay bonus that can enhance your winnings by up to 40% on 4+ leg wagers, highlighting its dedication to both value and excitement in the betting experience.

Betfred

Dubbed ‘The Bonus King’, Betfred lives up to its name, especially with its ‘10th on Us’ promotion where every tenth NFL bet earns you a free bet. Unique to Betfred is their NFL ticket giveaway—bet $500 or more during select periods and you could win tickets to major games, including exclusive post-game field access, making every bet part of a potentially unforgettable experience.

The Best Bets to Make Using NFL Computer Picks

Despite computer predictions for the NFL being viable to use on moneyline, prop betting, and over/under markets, we believe that spread bets are the best ones to make using our AI football picks. This is because spread markets can often be easily influenced by the general betting public, who can push the line in a certain direction based on misleading or surface-level information.

Our computer picks make it easy to see when the line and the predicted score aren’t matching up, allowing you to take advantage of the best betting opportunities.

NFL Super Bowl Computer Predictions

AI NFL predictions are usually used for football betting odds single-game scenarios, but that doesn’t mean you can’t use them to help with futures picks like the Super Bowl champion.

If you’re looking to predict the Super Bowl contenders using computer predictions, here’s a tip: Dive into our computer’s past game predictions and see how potential playoff teams stack up against other strong contenders in the NFL.

By using this combined with your own research and analysis, you should be able to come up with one or two smart picks to take home the Lombardi Trophy.

The Final Word on NFL Computer Picks

For the modern sports bettor, NFL computer picks are a tool that we couldn’t have even dreamed of five or ten years ago. While they shouldn’t be the only trick up your sleeve, our AI picks can be the centerpiece of a winning game plan when combined with careful research, advanced analytics, and savvy bankroll management.