The Saturday Six: Six Baseball Underdogs to Bet (6/22)

Friday was another good day for statistical underdogs, as the underdog won in six of the fifteen games. Of our five underdog picks for you yesterday, we went 2 for 5. We did pick the biggest statistical underdog of the day to win, as the Miami Marlins beat Philadelphia 2-1. They went off at +215, so a $100 would have netted you $215. In our first two days of the underdog column, we have went 5 for 9. Now, here are the “Saturday six” underdog picks that you should consider betting in Saturday’s Major League Baseball action.

Cincinnati Reds (+111) vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 4:10 EST start

On Saturday afternoon, the Reds will turn to their ace Luis Castillo to keep their hot streak going. The Reds have won their last six games.

If you have read the underdog articles the past few days, you would see that this column is very high on the Cincinnati Reds. They have performed well so far in this series, and have a great chance to do it again today. This game features teams that are heading in opposite directions. The Reds have won their last six games, while the Brewers have lost their last five games.

Milwaukee’s lack of depth in their pitching rotation has been on display so far in this series, with sub-par efforts from Jimmy Nelson and Chase Anderson. Milwaukee turns to Jhoulys Chacin today to right the ship. Chacin is 3-8 on the season, with a 5.60 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. In his first start since returning from a brief stint on the IL, Chacin gave up two runs in 4 and 2/3 innings of work against the Padres on Monday this week. The Brewers have not won a game started by Chacin since May 6 (six starts ago).

Cincinnati is countering today with one of the best pitchers in baseball, Luis Castillo. Castillo currently sports the third lowest ERA (2.26) in all of baseball. He has a 7-1 record and has struck out seven or more batters in 10 of his 15 starts this season. His shortest outing of the year came back on May 22 in Milwaukee, in which he gave up four runs in 2 and 2/3 innings of work. Look for Castillo to redeem himself from this outing, and bet the streaking Reds with confidence today.

Detroit Tigers (+170) vs. Cleveland Indians, 4:10 PM EST start

Today, Spencer Turnbull will be looking to overcome his bad history against the Indians.

Most people in Detroit are probably reading this pick and laughing right now. The Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 games, have the third worst record in the American League(26-45), and have lost six of seven games to Cleveland already this season. In addition, Cleveland has been on a hot streak, winning seven of their last 10 games. Yet, the gut instinct of this writer says that Detroit may be worth a flier today.

Cleveland will be calling up Aaron Civale to make his major league debut on Saturday. In seven starts between double-A and triple-A, Civale went 5-0 with a 2.85 ERA. Civale is being called up to make a spot start for the Indians, replacing Mike Clevinger who landed on the 10 day IL with a sprained ankle.

The Tigers will be sending Spencer Turnbull to the mound in Saturday’s game. Turnbull’s 3-6 record on the season is not indicative of his pitching performances, as he sports a 3.27 ERA on the season. This ERA was 2.78 before his last start, in which he was hammered by the Indians last Sunday(six runs in five innings). The Indians have had Turnbull’s number this year, as he has given up 18 hits to them over nine innings of work. In twelve of his thirteen starts NOT against the Indians, he has given up three runs or less.

This is a pride game for both Turnbull and the Tigers. The Tigers have lost four games over the past seven days to the Indians, and Turnbull’s performances against the Indians have been the only real blemishes on his season performance so far. Look for Turnbull to right the ship today, and for the Tigers to take advantage of a rookie starting for the Indians. If you are looking to bet a flier today, the Tigers aren’t a bad choice for you.

Baltimore Orioles (+160) vs. Seattle Mariners, 4:10 PM EST start

Andrew Cashner looks to get his seventh win of the season today against the Mariners.

The Baltimore Orioles have lost ten straight games. Today may be the day that sees the end of their losing streak. The Orioles find themselves playing an afternoon game today against the Mariners, who have turned things around in their last ten games, going 6-4 over that stretch.

It looks like the Mariners are planning to use an opener, and then hand the ball over to Tommy Milone. Milone has been really good for the Mariners this season, sporting a 3.03 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. Even though he has only given seven earned runs in his last four starts, he has gotten a no decision in all four of those games. Milone’s season numbers are much better than his career numbers, in which he has a career ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.33. Look for Milone’s numbers to come back down to earth a little bit today.

The Orioles send Andrew Cashner to the hill today to try to end the Orioles’ 10 game losing streak. Cashner is 6-3 on the season, with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. The Orioles have given Cashner good run support this season, as they have scored six or more runs in eight of his 14 starts. If you look at Cashner’s outings on the road, there are some reasons for hope. In three of his last four road starts, he has given up two runs or less. What is even more impressive is that those starts came against Oakland, Houston, and the Yankees. Take the Orioles today to end their 10 game losing streak.

San Francisco Giants (+125) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, 10:10 PM EST

Tyler Beede, starting pitcher for the San Francisco Giants

The Giants and Diamondbacks are teams that may be going in opposite directions. The Giants are 6-4 in their last 10 games, including winning the first game of the Diamondbacks series last night. The Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their past 10 games, and are 0-4 to start the home-stand so far. They will most likely be without the services of the red-hot Ketel Marte tonight, as he suffered a injury in Friday’s game.

Arizona will send Zack Godley to the mound tonight. This game may be a relief game for the D-Backs as Godley hasn’t gone five innings in a game since April 17. He is currently 3-4 on the season with a 6.52 ERA. In his last start, he gave up six runs to the Nationals in 4 and 2/3 innings of work.

San Francisco will give the ball to Tyler Beede tonight to win game two of the series. Beede pitched very well in his last start, giving up one run in six innings of work against the Dodgers. Since moving to the rotation, the Giants have won three of the four games that Beede has started. With the D-Backs struggling as of late and the Giants playing good baseball, look for the Giants to win tonight.

Miami Marlins (+165) vs. Philadelphia Philles, 4:05 PM EST start

Marlins starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez

The Miami Marlins have been very quietly playing good baseball away from home. They are currently 7-3 in their last 10 road games, and they look to keep that stretch of good road baseball going. They have been doing this behind their young pitching staff, and today will be no different. The Marlins send 24 year old Elieser Hernandez to the mound today. He is 0-2 in his two starts this season, but he has only given up four total earned runs in those starts.

The Phillies are trending in the wrong direction, and that is not something the Phillies’ fan base will take lightly. They have lost seven of their last eight games, six of those to divisional opponents. Their offense has been struggling, as they have scored eight runs in their past five games.

The Phillies will send Vince Velasquez to the mound in today’s game, and who knows how long he is expected to pitch. Velasquez lost his starting spot in the rotation in early May, and is being given a second chance today against the Marlins. On the season, he has a 4.71 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. Due to the inconsistency of Velasquez and the Phillies’ recent struggles, look for the Marlins to shock Phillies fans again today and steal a win in Philadelphia.

Los Angeles Angels (+130) vs. St. Louis Cardinals, 2:15 PM EST start

Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina hugging during yesterday’s Angels/Cardinals game.

Something has gotta give in this ballgame today. The Cardinals have won the last six games started by Dakota Hudson. The Angels have won the last five games in which Felix Pena has appeared. One of those streaks must come to an end today.

Dakota Hudson has been really good as of late for the Cardinals, giving up two runs or less in five of his last six starts. He is currently 5-3 on the year, with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. This means he is allowing a lot of base-runners, but he is leaving a lot of them out there as well.

Felix Pena has been rotating between being a starting pitcher and a relief pitcher. He currently has a 4.70 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. This means that he is not leaving runners stranded on base. No matter what his role has been, however, the Angels have provided him with run support. In the last ten games in which Pena has appeared, the Angels have scored five or more runs in eight of those ten games.

Look for Hudson’s ability to strand runners to come to an end today, and look for the Angels to win the second game of Albert Pujols’ three game homecoming this weekend.

For today’s odds article, check out https://overtimeheroics.net/index.php/2019/06/22/oth-daily-odds-6-22-19/

For Friday’s underdog article, https://overtimeheroics.net/index.php/2019/06/21/friday-high-five-five-mlb-underdogs-to-bet-6-21/

For Thursday’s underdog article, https://overtimeheroics.net/index.php/2019/06/20/mlb-madness-four-thursday-underdogs-to-bet/

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  1. Pingback: Six MLB Underdogs to Bet Today (6/25) - Overtime Heroics

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