OTH- Daily Odds 7/28/19

OTH- Daily Odds 7/28/19 is part of a daily series providing you with the odds of all major sports playing that day.

MLB

1:05 EST Braves @ Phillies – Aaron Nola and the Phillies try to avoid the sweep this afternoon. Nola has allowed more than one earned run in only one of his last seven starts. He has also had success against the Braves this year going 2-0 with a 2.95 Era. Braves hitters are batting .188 against him on the year. Kevin Guasman will make the start for Atlanta. Guasman has struggled on the road going 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA with hitters batting .316 against him.

Picks: Phillies (-137), Phillies first five innings (-150)

1:07 EST Rays @ Blues Jays – The Rays were probably in a state of shock after Saturday afternoon’s game against the Jays.  They had a 9-2 lead going into the bottom of the sixth inning, and watched that lead evaporate right before their eyes.  After losing yesterday’s game 10-9 in extra innings, that brings their record against Toronto this year to 6-2. Today, they will send Yonny Chirinos to the mound to notch the series win.  He has given up four runs or less in nine of his last ten starts, and has gone at least five innings in all of those starts. His last outing against Toronto came on May 27, in which he gave up no runs and no hits in five innings of work.  The Jays counter today with Aaron Sanchez, who hasn’t gotten a win since April 27. He is 3-14 on the season, and the Jays have only won two of his last sixteen starts. Look for the Rays to rebound and notch the series win today.  

Pick:  Tampa Bay (-148)

Prior to yesterday’s outbursts of runs, both teams’ offenses had been very sluggish.  From Monday to Friday this week, Toronto had scored nine runs in five games (1.8 per game average).  Before scoring nine runs on Saturday, Tampa Bay had scored five runs or less in each of their last eleven games.  Yonny Chirinos has given up three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. Even though his record is abysmal, Aaron Sanchez hasn’t given up more than four runs in any of his starts in July.  Toronto has scored four runs or less in six of their eight games against Tampa Bay this season. For all of these reasons, we feel that yesterday’s scoring outburst was an anomaly, and we like playing under bets in this game.  

Premium Picks:  First 5 inning Under 6 Runs (-125), Game Under 10.5 Runs (-120),Toronto Under 4.5 Runs (-130)

1:10 EST Diamondbacks @ Marlins – Robbie Ray has had a fantastic July so far for Arizona.  He has won all four of his July starts, and has a 2.96 ERA in those four starts.  He has also struck out at least seven batters in each of those games. The Marlins will send Elieser Hernandez to the mound, who is getting a chance to return to the rotation.  He gave up two or three runs in all five of his starts before moving to the bullpen. In the bullpen, he has been scored upon in each of his last three outings, including giving up four runs in ⅔ of an inning on July 20 in Los Angeles.  Look for the Diamondbacks to get the series win today.  

Pick:  Arizona (-145)

On Sunday, Robbie Ray faces a Marlins offense that has been struggling in recent games.  Over their last 10 games, they are averaging 2.6 runs per game and have scored three runs or less in eight of those games.  As stated above, the Diamondbacks have won all four of his July starts. With Hernandez struggling in recent outings for Miami, look for Arizona to get to him early.  

Premium Picks:  Arizona -0.5 First 5 Innings (-105), Miami Under 3.5 Runs (-140)

1:35 EST Dodgers @ Nationals – Walker Buehler and the Dodgers will take on Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals this afternoon in DC. Buehler’s last two road starts have been forgettable for him allowing 13 runs on 17 hits in 11.2 innings of work. Stephen Strasburg will be tasked with shutting down this high powered Dodgers lineup. Strasburg has been lights out as of late, giving up a total of three earned runs in his last four starts (24.2 innings). He also has also not lost a game in over a month going 6-0 in that span. In Strasburg’s last four starts, the Nationals have given up more than one run in only one game. Expect this to be a low scoring game with the Nationals avoiding the sweep.

Picks: Nationals (+105), Under 8.5 total runs (-115)

2:10 EST Twins @ White Sox – Dylan Covey gets the start for the White Sox this afternoon. The White Sox have lost five straight games that Covey has appeared in. In his previous start against the Twins, he allowed four earned runs in six innings of work resulting in a loss. Starting for the Twins will be Kyle Gibson. Gibson shut down the White Sox in their last meeting pitching seven innings, giving up one run, and striking out nine. The Twins have beaten the White Sox by at least two runs in six of their nine games this year. Look for Kyle Gibson to have a solid start and for the Twins to cover the 1.5.

Picks: Twins – 1.5 (-120), Twins -.5 First five innings (-130)

2:15 EST Indians @ Royals – The Indians come into todays game as the hottest team in baseball. Cleveland has won 19 of their last 23 games. Trevor Bauer will attempt to keep their winning ways going. Bauer is at his best on the road with a 6-2 record and a 2.19 ERA. He is also 2-0 on the year against the Royals. Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, and Oscar Mercado have been ripping the cover off the ball since the All Star Break. They have combined for 14 home-runs and 43 RBIs, with all having an OPS of at least .950. Expect the Indians to get the win and keep pace with the Twins today.

Picks: Indians -1.5 (-115), Royals over 3.5 runs (-125)

4:07 Rangers @ Athletics – Mike Fiers’ consistency has been a little shocking this season.  After giving up six runs in three consecutive April starts that saw his ERA shoot up to 8.28, he has given up three runs or less in sixteen straight starts. His ERA has dropped all the way down to 3.57 during that time.  Texas will counter with Pedro Payano, who gave up one run in five innings last week against Seattle in his first start of this season. In the minors this season, Payano was 5-3 in fifteen starts in AA and AAA, sporting a 4.40 ERA.  With a high money line odds (-205), and six of Fiers’ last eleven games being one run games, the run line play seems risky as well. Therefore, there will just be premium picks for this game.

Of those sixteen games that we mentioned above for Mike Fiers, the total score in twelve of those sixteen games has been under ten runs.  In his last eight starts, there have been a single digit run total in all eight of those games. Oakland has scored seventeen total runs in their last six games.  In addition, Oakland has only scored more than five runs in one of Fiers’ last eight starts.  

Premium Picks:  5 Inning Under 5.5 (-120), Oakland Under 5.5 (-120)

4:07 EST Orioles @ Angels – In probably the most shocking series of the weekend, the Baltimore Orioles have won the first three games in Los Angeles against the Angels.  Notching a series sweep may be tough today though. They send Dylan Bundy to the mound, who is 5-11 on the season with a 5.14 ERA. He has lost five of his last seven starts, and has given up four or more runs in three of his last five starts.  The Angels will counter with Felix Pena today, who has given up three earned runs or less in five of his last six outings. It is hard to fathom the Angels losing four in a row at home to the Orioles, so take the Angels today to avoid the sweep. We also like doubling up on them to be winning after five innings.  

Pick:  Angels -1.5 (-115), LA Angels First 5 Innings -0.5 (-150)

4:10 Giants @ Padres – After losing two of their last three games, the Giants record after the All Star Break has fallen to 12-4.   They send their ace to the hill on Sunday, in what some people think will be his final game in a Giant uniform.  Madison Bumgarner has been pitching really well in recent games, giving up three runs or less in each of his last six starts.  The Giants have won five of those six games. In his only start at San Diego this season back in April, he gave up two runs in seven innings.  The Padres will counter with Adrian Morejon and who knows how long he will pitch today. In his two outings for San Diego, he has given up one run in 3 and ⅓ innings of work.  The Padres have struggled mightily since the All-Star break, going 4-10 over those fourteen games (including 1-4 at home). Look for Bumgarner to be great today, and for the Giants to notch a series win.  We also like their chances of not being behind after 5 innings.  

Pick:  San Francisco (-118)

Internation Champions Cup

3:00 EST – Benfica vs AC Milan – Benfica (-140)

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