Players To Stay Away From In Your Draft
Each season, players are projected for how they are expected to perform during the upcoming year. When you start your fantasy football drafts, you look at these projections to see what players you should take. At their current average draft position, these are players to stay away from in your draft.
According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Derrick Henry has an average draft position (ADP) of 3.06. Until his explosion in week 14, his highest yards total for a single game was 58. Henry went into week 14 with 128 carries for 474 yards. That was good enough for a measly 3.7 yards per carry. While he did finish the season strong, he does not have the history to show he can be a top fantasy running back. Players that you can get around him are Kerryon Johnson, Keenan Allen, Devonta Freeman and Adam Thielen, and you should take any of them over Henry.
Phillip Lindsay burst onto the scene as an undrafted rookie and quickly became one of the top running backs. The problem is, he was almost too efficient. Although he did manage a 5.5 yard per carry, that was more of a testament to the offensive line as he only averaged 2.3 yards after contact. That ranks him as the 32nd best in the league in evaded tackles. With head coach Vic Fangio stating he wanted to go running back by committee, Lindsay will have fewer opportunities running the ball Lindsay did have 35 receptions last season, but with the free-agent signing of Theo Riddick, that will take away some passing work as well. Players you should take around his ADP (4.10) are Chris Carson, Julian Edelman, and Robert Woods.
Derrius Guice’s ADP is 6.03. Last season, there was a lot of hype around him before he blew out his ACL in the preseason. Typically, players can come back the next season and will be close to 100%. The issue with Guice is that due to an infection in his knee, he had to have another procedure done and it set his time table back even further.
With Guice expected to be ready by week one, he should have no restrictions. The Washington Redskins signed Adrian Peterson to a 2 year 8 million dollar contract during the off-season. Both backs are expected to get an even workload in the rushing game. With Chris Thompson getting the passing work, there isn’t very much value to him this year. Players you can get around him are Evan Engram, DJ Moore, Alshon Jeffrey, and James White.
Darrell Henderson is the rookie running back from the Los Angeles Rams. Henderson is currently going at 7.07 in fantasy drafts, implying that he will get a decent workload. My issue with that is the Rams still have a guy named Todd Gurley. Gurley had 1831 total yards and 21 touchdowns last season. That was good enough to finish as the number one fantasy running back in points per game. Although Gurley does have the knee issue, it’s more likely that Henderson will be just a change-of-pace back instead of a running back by committee. The only people who should be drafting him here are people who took Todd Gurley, otherwise, he probably won’t have much stand-alone value. You can draft guys such as Will Fuller, Allen Robinson, and Austin Ekeler and get better value from them at this spot.
Make sure to follow me (@Jcsirianni) and Overtime Heroics (@OTHeroics1) on twitter for the latest news in fantasy football and other sports!