OTH- Daily Odds 8/20/19

OTH- Daily Odds 8/20/19 is part of a daily series providing you with the odds for all major sports playing that day.

MLB

7:05 EST Royals @ Orioles Pick – Total Under 9.5 (-110), KC (+102), 1st 5 Under 5.5 (-125)

Supporting Facts

  • U9.5 is 12-4 in Brad Keller 2019 road starts, and is 7-5 in Dylan Bundy 2019 home starts
  • U9.5 is 5-1 in Kansas City’s last six games
  • Baltimore has lost their last eight games, and is 1-13 in their last fourteen games
  • Dylan Bundy is 1-8 in 12 home starts this season
  • Keller is 1-0 (2.25 ERA) in one career start vs Balt, while Bundy is 1-1 (5.66 ERA) in four career starts vs KC
  • F5 U5.5 is 6-1 in Keller’s last seven starts
  • Opponents of Dylan Bundy have scored two runs or less through five innings in four of his last five starts

7:05 EST Nationals @ Pirates Picks – Nationals (-155), Nationals Over 4.5 (-125), Total Over 8.5(-125), Nationals 1st 5 (-160)

Supporting Facts

  • Washington has scored at least six runs in each of Strasburg’s last six starts, and Washington has scored 13 or more runs in four of their last five games
  • Washington has hit 12 HR’s in their last two games, and has scored 62 runs in their last five.
  • The opponent has scored at least five runs in each of Archer’s last four starts, and in six of his last eight starts
  • O8.5 is 6-0 in Strasburg’s last six starts, is 4-2 in Archer’s last six starts, and is 6-2 in Washington’s last eight games
  • The Pirates have lost seven straight starts by Archer
  • Wash F5 is 5-1-1 in Strasburg’s 7 starts since the AS break

7:10 EST Phillies @ Red Sox Picks – Phillies (-106), Total Under 11(-115), Red Sox Under 5.5 (-135), Phillies 1st 5(-125), No Run in 1st (+125)

Supporting Facts

  • Phil has won 8 of Nola’s last 10 starts, and four of his last five road starts
  • Opponents of Nola have scored over five runs just once in his last thirteen starts
  • U11 is 4-0-2 in Nola’s last six road starts
  • U11 is 9-3 in Philly’s last 12 road games
  • Phillies 1st 5 is 5-2 in Nola’s last seven starts
  • No 1st inning run is 2-1 in August Brian Johnson starts, and Nola has given up a first inning run just once in his last seven starts.

7:10 EST Indians @ Mets Picks – Mets Under 3.5(-130), Total Under 8.5 (-115), Indians (-153), No Run in 1st (-125)

Supporting Facts

  • Bieber opponents have scored less than four runs in five of his last six road starts, and in seven of his last nine total starts
  • Steven Matz has given up two runs or less in five of his six starts since returning to the rotation.
  • The Indians are 8-4 in their last 12 games, and the Mets are 3-4 in their last 7 games
  • The Indians are 6-1 in Bieber’s last 7 road starts, and 7-2 in his last nine total starts
  • Under 8.5 is 5-0 in Bieber’s last five starts
  • Matz hasn’t given up a first inning run in his last six starts, and Bieber hasn’t given up one in his last five starts

7:10 EST Padres @ Reds Picks – Total Under 8.5 (-110), 1st 5 Under 4.5(-110), Reds Under 4.5 (-125), SD Under 3.5 (-110), No Run in 1st (-120)

Supporting Facts

  • Sonny Gray currently has an 18 inning scoreless streak, and has given up no runs in his last 3 starts
  • Cal Quantrill has given up two earned runs or less in each of his last six starts
  • Quantrill opponents have scored under five runs in each of his last six starts
  • Padres opponents have scored under 5 runs in five of their last seven games
  • Quantrill and Gray have allowed a first inning run only once in their last four starts.

7:20 EST Marlins @ Braves Picks – Braves -1.5 (-140), Over 9.5 (-115), 1st 5 Over 5.5 (-115)

Supporting Facts

  • Braves are 12-4 against the Marlins on the year
  • Braves have won 5 of their last 7
  • Elieser Hernandez has allowed 4 earned runs or more in three of his last five starts.
  • Over is 10-2-1 in Marlins last 13 games against teams over .500
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7:45 EST Brewers @ Cardinals Picks – Total Under 10 (-105), 1st 5 Under 6(-125), STL (-112), STL 1st 5(-115), No Run in 1st (+120)

Supporting Facts

  • U10 is 8-3 in Gio Gonzalez starts this season
  • U10 is 7-1-1 in Michael Wacha’s last 9 starts
  • U10 is 7-4 in 11 games this season between Milwaukee and St Louis
  • Michael Wacha is 6-0 in 12 career starts vs Milwaukee, while Gio Gonzalez is 3-4 in 10 career starts vs. St Louis
  • St Louis is 4-0 against Milwaukee at home this season, and STL F5 is 4-0 as well in these games
  • No 1st inning run is 5-2 in last 7 Cards/Brewers games

8:05 EST Angels @ Rangers Picks – Angels 1st 5 (-140), Angels (-133), Rangers Under 5.5 (-125)

Supporting Facts

  • Rangers have scored fewer than 6 runs in 9 of 14 meetings
  • Rangers have scored 6 or fewer in 10 of their last 14 games
  • Brock Burke was 3-5 in the Minors with a 3.90 ERA

8:05 EST Giants @ Cubs Picks – Cubs Over 5.5 (-140), Total Over 10.5(-120), Yes to Run in 1st (-145), SF Over 4.5 (-105)

Supporting Facts

  • Cubs O5.5 is 6-3 in last 9 Cubs home games
  • Hamels’ last two starts AND Beede’s last two starts have been O10.5
  • Hamels has given up 17 hits and 13 runs in his last 5 innings pitched (last two starts)
  • Beede has given up at least 4 runs in each of his last 5 starts (40 hits and 22 runs in 23+ innings)
  • Beede has given up a first inning run in three of his last five starts (including one against the Cubs), and Hamels has given up a first inning run in both of his last two starts
  • Yes to a 1st inning run is 10-5 in Cubs home games since the AS break

8:10 EST Tigers @ Astros Picks – Astros -1.5 (-150), Astros Over 5.5 (-105), Total Over 9 (-110)

Supporting Facts

  • The Tigers have lost Spencer Turnbull’s last ten starts and 13 of his last 14
  • Tigers are 3-11 in their last 14 road games
  • Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 homes games ( 5 by 2 runs or more)
  • Astros are 4-0 against the Tiger this year ( 3 wins by 2 or more)
  • Over 9 is 2-0-2 in the four meetings between these teams

8:10 EST White Sox @ Twins Picks – Twins -1.5(-115), Twins -0.5 1st 5(-140), Twins Over 5.5(-110), White Sox Over 3.5(-130), Total Over 9.5(-110)

  • Lopez has a 1.79 WHIP in his last four starts
  • Pineda is 2-0 against the White Sox, and has given up three runs in 13 innings
  • Minnesota is 8-3 in Pineda’s last 11 starts
  • Lopez gave up 8 runs in 3+ innings in his last start in Minnesota
  • Minn -0.5 1st 5 is 4-0 in Pineda’s last 4 starts
  • White Sox have scored more than three runs in nine of their last ten road games
  • Over 9.5 is 11-4 in last 15 Minnesota home games

9:40 EST Rockies @ Diamondbacks Picks – 1st 5 Over 5.5(-115), Yes Run in 1st(-130), Col Over 4.5(+100), Total Over 10(+100), Diamondbacks Over 5.5(+105)

Supporting Facts

  • Alex Young has given up 13 hits and 9 runs in 8+ innings over his last two starts
  • The opposing team has scored six or more runs in eight of Freeland’s last ten starts (three of last four road starts)
  • Freeland has a 4.86 Road ERA, and Arizona has a .288 vs LHP this season
  • Arizona has scored six or more runs in seven of their last ten home games
  • Freeland has given up runs in the first inning in his last two starts against Arizona

10:00 EST Yankees @ Athletics Picks – NYY(-133), NYY 1st 5 (-140), NYY Over 4.5(-140), Oak Under 4.5(-135)

Supporting Facts

  • The Yankees are 15-2 in German’s last 17 starts
  • Yankees O4.5 is 13-5 in last 18 games
  • German has given up three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts
  • NYY F5 is 6-1 in German’s 7 starts since the AS break
  • Oak U4.5 is 5-0 in last five games against opposing pitchers with season records over .500

10:10 Blue Jays @ Dodgers Picks – LA -1.5 (-160), LA Over 5.5 (-105)

Supporting Facts

  • Dodgers have won six straight games started by Kershaw (all by two runs or more)
  • Kershaw is 8-0 at home with a 2.26 ERA
  • LA is 8-2 at home in their last ten (six wins have been by two or more)
  • Jays are 3-5 in Sean Reid-Foley’s last eight appearances

Prop Bets

Pit/Wash: Archer O6 K(-115, struck out 6 or more in 8 of last 9 games, Washington scored 13 runs but had 11 K’s yesterday), Rendon O2.5(-125, Hits in 9 of 10, runs in 6 of 10), Soto O2.5(-125, O2.5 in 7 of last 9 games)

KC/Balt: Keller O4.5K(-140, 5 or more Ks in last 4 games, Orioles have 25 Ks in last three games)

TB/Seat: Tommy Pham O2(HR in 3 of last 5 games, .321 BA vs LHP this year)

Phil/Bos: Nola O5.5 K(-135, Over 5 K in 9 of last 11 starts, Red Sox had 18 Ks in last 2 games)

Cle/NYM: Bieber O7.5K(-115, over 7 k in 9 of last 12 starts)

SD/Cin: Gray O6.5K(-165, over 6 K in 7 of last 8 starts, SD struck out 14 times yesterday)

Mia/ATL: Keuchel O4.5K(-165, struck out four against Miami two starts ago and only pitched 3+ innings), Acuna O2.5(-140, 8 HR vs Miami this season)

STL/Mil: Christian Yelich O2.5(-130, has 7 hits and 2 HR in his last 14 plate appearances)

Cubs/SF: Hamels U5.5K(-115, Under 6 K in four of his last five starts), Baez O2.5(-120, 2 for 3 with a HR and a 2B the last time he faced Beede)

Det/Hou: Bregman O2.5(-150, hits in 11 of last 13 games, RBI in 7 of last 10 games, runs in 10 of last 12)

CWS/Min: Lopez O4.5K(-135, 6 or more K in 5 of last 7 games), Jimenez O2(-120, O2 is 4-2-2 in his last 8 games)

Col/AZ: Blackmon O2.5(-120, 6-12 with 3 HR in last 3 games), Arenado O2.5(-120, 7-22 with 4 HR and 6 RBI in last 5 games)

NYY/Oak: German U6 K(-130, 6 K or less in his last four starts against teams within 2 games of a playoff spot)

Tor/LAD: Kershaw O8.5K(-105, 9 or more K in 4 of last 5 starts), Bellinger O2.5(-130, .327 BA with 24 HR at home)

Be sure to follow me on twitter @Bettingsn for more picks and news.

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