Buy Low and Sell High Candidates: Fantasy Football

The trade deadline is slowly approaching for fantasy football. It’s make-it or break-it at this point and some moves could turn your bottom-tier team into a championship caliber team instantly.

Last season at this point, I had a winning record, but the least amount of points for. I turned that around making five trades near the deadline loading my team with talent from top to bottom and killing my league for the rest of the year. Most of the time, if you are not improving, you become stagnant and teams start to catch you making moves. Waivers can only take you so far, and as a result, trading needs to be your best friend.

One tip before we dive in. When you make trades, giving up more players for one player is a good move. Trading away two solid wide receivers and a solid runningback for an elite wide receiver is the type of moves you want to make. For example, I traded away Sony Michel, David Montgomery, and JuJu Smith-Schuster for Josh Jacobs and Christian Kirk. Sony Michel was my second runningback and JuJu and Montgomery rotated in my flex. This instantly made my team solid. Jacobs at the time was my prime buy-low candidate and it paid off greatly for me. So let’s get into it.

Buy-Low Candidates

Buying-Low is definitely the way to win fantasy. The problem with buying low is knowing who to buy. Some players you need to avoid no matter how tempting they are, like Odell Beckham, Jr.

RB Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns

The Nick Chubb owners might be getting a little scared with the return of Kareem Hunt. Obviously Hunt will eat into some of Chubb’s workload, but not much. Hunt isn’t nearly as good as Chubb is and the Browns would be silly to give Hunt more than eight carries a game. Chubb is still the workhorse, but the owner might get worried about that so use that to your advantage and buy low.

RB Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills

Devin Singletary finally has seem to taken the reigns in Buffalo. People still may be skeptical of him being the lead back, but he really is outperforming Frank Gore. I don’t see the Bills preferring Gore over him. Last game, Singletary took 20 carries and turned that into 95 yards and touchdown. He also holds PPR value to help his case as a buy low candidate.

WR Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

As a Chris Godwin I can attest to this: Mike Evans worries me. Mike Evans caught more than 11 passes for nearly had 200 yards as well and at least one touchdown. How did Godwin do? He combined for 11 passes in those two games and barely over 100 yards with no touchdowns. Godwin’s remaining schedule is very favorable with the Cardinals, Falcons, Jaguars, and Lions being four of the next six opponents making him a prime buy low.

WR D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers

Speaking of a favorable schedule here is Moore’s remaining schedule: the Packers, Falcons twice, Redskins, Saints, and Seahawks. Even in the Saints game, the Saints have a shot of shutting down Christian McCaffrey forcing Kyle Allen to throw to Moore. Moore has a shot of being a top 20 wide receiver over this stretch and could help your team immensely especially in PPR formats where he has a lot of volume.

Sell-High Candidates

Selling High is the flip side to this. Take advantage of the Recency Bias and sell a player after a huge week and a stretch of good weeks. The owner you’re selling to will be susceptible to remembering those past few weeks and letting them affect his decision more.

RB Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts

The first instant downside to Mack is he has little to no receiving upside. In PPR formats he really does you no good. Besides that, Mack has a tough remaining schedule, outside of Miami this week, and you might as well sell high at this point. In standard leagues he is a top 15 runningback right now, but he will drop after this tough remaining schedule. Sell him while his value is still high.

RB Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers

Melvin Gordon showed what he could do for the first time this season. He had a solid game putting up 25.9 PPR points. The problem is, you need to dive into the stats to realize where these points came from. Melvin Gordon received half of his carries in the fourth quarter alone when they were protecting their lead against Green Bay. Also, he only averaged 4.0 yards per carry against one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL. Sell him while people remember his name and what he just did.

WR Courland Sutton, Denver Broncos

Right now, Courland Sutton is .1 points away from being a WR1 in PPR. Sutton is the go-to guy in Denver now that Emmanuel Sanders is gone. He has been great in the role. The problem here is the remaining schedule. After the bye week, he faces the Vikings, Bills, and Chargers (Casey Heyward) all in a row. That’s a brutal schedule. After that, it gets more favorable, but if you need to win now to make playoffs, sell Sutton.

WR D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks

Metcalf just had his biggest game of his career this past weekend making it a prime time to sell. Metcalf is very inconsistent with huge games of 27 points, but he also is the second guy in Seattle behind Lockett. Also, the Seahawks have Josh Gordon coming in this week to take a role in the Seahawks offense. Obviously, Metcalf will still be used, but his snap count could go down quite a bit.

Be sure to check me out on Twitter for fantasy football advice @FF_JoeH and to check out @OTHeroics1 for all sports. Also, be sure to check out our Forums Page on Overtime Heroics to join me in some sports discussions.

One Comment

  1. Pingback: The Chicago Kids Nba Picks 11/9: Picks vs the spread and analysis

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: