This Sunday, December 1st, the New England Patriots will be visiting Houston to play the Texans.
The New England Patriots had a difficult game but were victorious against the Dallas Cowboys last week. Bring their record to 10-1. Although the Dallas defense did give them a run for their money. But as Bill Belichick would say at a press conference; We’re moving on to Houston. Or something to that effect.
With that being said, let’s move on and talk about the Houston Texans.
The Patriots are 3-1 against the Texans when playing in Houston. And the Texans are 7-4, one game above the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennesse Titans in the AFC South. Their last game was a divisional game against the Colts. Where they beat them 20-17. Looking at Houston’s previous scores against other opponents, the final score has either been a blowout or a tight score.
N.E’s Running Game
According to Patriots.com, the Pats will have to use their passing game as opposed to the running game. Because they are facing the same type of defense that the Cowboys had. Even though Sony Michele had 85 yards on 20 carries. The Texans allow 108 yards per game on the ground, which is the middle of the pack at 17th in the league.
Pat’s passing game against Houston’s D
The passing game this year is the Texans defense kryptonite. The Texans allow 260 yards per game through the air (25th), have just five interceptions (30th) and 22 sacks (28th in sacks per pass play) and have allowed better than 41 percent of third downs to be converted, which is 31st in the league.
What New England’s D needs to do:
The Patriots did a reasonable job against Ezekiel Elliott last week, allowing 86 yards on 21 carries, but the task may be more difficult this week dealing with the Texans read-option looks. The linebackers continue to play well, particularly Kyle Van Noy and Dont’a Hightower. Van Noy and John Simon will need to do be solid in setting the edge to prevent the big plays the Texans have managed with Carlos Hyde in recent weeks. Keeping Houston’s ground game under wraps will go a long way toward shutting down the Texans, but that’s easier said than done.
In my opinion, the Patriots defense has never been good against a running quarterback. But the Patriots D has been incredible this year! Hopefully, Deshaun Watson will get sacked more than run. Ooops did I just say that! Sorry, I meant hopefully he will be hurried and have to throw it more than run it. 🤣
However, he will have his top 3 receivers (DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, and Kenny Stills)for this game, so the Pats secondary will have to be on their toes. Stephon Gilmore will most likely have his hands full being paired up against Hopkins. And hopefully, Jason McCourty will be health to play this game. He missed last week’s game against Dallas.
The Patriots have earned a huge edge overall, however, based on both coverage and the ability to make plays. Matthew Slater blocked a Dallas punt last week, the third time the Patriots have turned that trick this season. Few teams boast the playmaking ability New England has displayed in the third phase this season.
At the time of this article, the injury list have not been released yet.
|2019 REGULAR SEASON||NEW ENGLAND||HOUSTON|
|Total Yards Gained||3,881||4,198|
|Total Offense (Rank)||352.8 (17)||381.6 (7)|
|Rush Offense||91.9 (23)||136.9 (6T)|
|Pass Offense||260.9 (8)||244.7 (12)|
|Points Per Game||27.3 (5)||24.1 (10)|
|Total Yards Allowed||2,820||4,040|
|Total Defense (Rank)||256.4 (2)||367.3 (20)|
|Rush Defense||98.4 (9)||108.0 (17)|
|Pass Defense||158.0 (2)||259.3 (25)|
|Points Allowed / Game||10.6 (1)||22.6 (17)|
|Sacks Allowed / Yards Lost||19/133||33/207|
|Sacks Made / Yards||37/254||22/168|
|Total Touchdowns Scored||35||32|
|Penalties Against / Yards||68/629||80/672|
|Punts / Avg.||62/44.9||35/45.4|
|Turnover Differential||+19 (1)||0 (14T)|
As a Patriot fan, I have learned to never bet for or against them because they will kill the spread if Brady is on a roll. But for those who do, oddsmakers expect New England to keep rolling in Houston. The Patriots have opened as 3.5-point betting favorites on the road against the Texans.
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