Conference Championship Picks To Lock In
Baylor vs Oklahoma
These two offenses are top 13 in the country in scoring and top three in the Big 12 in total defense. It’ll be a chess match between two teams that have rarely been slowed down this season. Oklahoma has won four-straight Big 12 Championships. And I think they’ll get the win and see the over hit as one of these teams will score 40-plus.
Georgia vs LSU
The Tigers have committed to the running game this season. With junior RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the SEC in rushing touchdowns (16) and is third in rushing yards (1,234) while QB Joe Burrow was an early Heisman candidate and will finish as one after breaking SEC passing records for TDs (44) and Yards (4,366). I think the LSU offense will be too much for a Georgia team that has allowed 20 points only once this season – a loss to South Carolina in OT (20-17). Georgia was a favorite to win it all this season and I don’t think Jake Fromm will be able to score enough on the Tigers to advance. I love LSU -7 and Georgia’s team total of under 23.5 is appetizing but -7 for LSU is safer.
Virginia vs Clemson
Clemson 1Q -7
Clemson is riding a 27-game winning streak that stretches over 700 days long. Virginia is in their first-ever ACC Championship and will face the top-ranked defense (10.1 points per game) in that same game. I don’t see Virginia scoring many points and Clemson walking away from this one without any scratches. Once again it’s onto the College Football Playoff for the Tigers and I expect them to get off to a fast start and lead by at least a touchdown after one quarter.
Ohio State vs Wisconsin
Ohio State -16.5
We have seen this show over and over and over again! The results won’t change, The Buckeyes are on a mission and no way the Badgers stop them.
Utah vs Oregon
This is probably the biggest game in Utah football history and I like that defense to hold the Ducks in check. These aren’t the early 2000s Ducks up tempo, go go go offense. They actually are a mirror image of Utah, balanced run and pass. I think Utah does it better and has the better defense. Will a tight low scoring game be enough for the committee to let them in though? We will wait and see!
Ohio State vs Wisconsin
Ohio St TTo 36.5
The Buckeyes drop 40, way too much speed and weapons for Wisconsin to handle. They also want to send a message loud and clear to the committee that we are the #1 team in the nation!
Utah vs Oregon
Utah and Oregon will face off Friday for the Pac-12 Championship with massive playoff implications on the line. Oregon’s hopes are dead and gone, but Utah is on the fringe and has all the opportunity to sneak in if some luck were to come their way. The only loss they’ve suffered on the season was on the road against USC. Aside from that, they have been handling teams with ease behind a strong run game and rock-solid defense that has only given up 11.3 PPG this season.
One of the major factors that will come into play in this high stake’s matchup is going to be the weather. With a 100% chance of rain as of right now and expected wind speeds of up to 20MPH it could wreak havoc on the passing game. Sloppy field conditions, a Utah offense that relies heavily on their senior RB Zack Moss, and a historic Utah defense has all the workings of a low scoring slugfest. I like the under of 45.5 in this game and will put a unit on it.
Cincinnati vs. Memphis
My Pick: Cincinnati +9.5
Some may have saw this game and wondered why it looked so familiar. That’s because these two faced off last week in the last game of the regular season. Memphis played host to Cincinnati and walked away with a chance to compete again in the conference championship after a 10 point victory. Cincinnati had already clinched their spot so the Memphis win resulted in an immediate rematch.
The line opened up with Memphis as a 10 point favorite and has only moved a half point since. I like Cincinnati to cover 9.5 in this matchup. The Bearcats lone loss came at the hands of the Ohio State Buckeyes before dropping to Memphis last week. Head Coach Luke Fickell has had Cincinnati playing at a high level all year and I expect them to come out fired up against a team that bested them last week.
After having a chance to revisit film and dissect what worked and what didn’t, I think both teams will find it difficult to separate themselves in this championship game. I thought this line would open up around 6.5 so I was excited to take it at 9.5. I think this will be a close battle and like the Bearcats to cover. I’ll put a unit on Cincinnati to cover and I wouldn’t be surprised if they go home with some hardware at the end of the night.
High Reward Pick of the Week
Decided to go with a five team 7 point tease. For anyone unfamiliar, this will work as a parlay with all teams involved given an extra 7 point cushion on their spread. These are all spreads I liked in the first place while I didn’t love them all enough to bet them. Add an additional 7 points on it and I like the way they look. A fun play that I wouldn’t risk more than a half unit on.
My Pick: 7 Point tease +418
- Cincinnati +16
- Georgia +14
- Oregon +13.5
- Baylor +16.5
- Appalachian state +.5
Hawaii vs Boise St.
Boise St. -14
Boise state has consistently put a beating on the Rainbow Warriors running up a 13-1 record the past 14 meetings. On top of that the Broncos have beaten Hawaii 7 straight by an average of 33 points. This seasons game was a little closer but still a big 59-37 victory. What gives Hawaii an even larger disadvantage is the fact the game is in Boise and the weather forecast shows temps to be 40 degrees with high winds and Rain. The islanders are definitely not used to those conditions and will not be able to keep up with the high flying Broncos who average 37 ppg.
Virginia vs Clemson
This appears to be a very risky ply being that besides the North Caroline game Clemson has beaten ever team by more then 28.5 points. With that said i think Virginia will give the Tigers some trouble with the length and athleticism all over their roster. One of the biggest areas Virginia will have to excel in to slow down Clemson is clock management. TE Bryce Perkins will be key to help keeping the chains moving. I dont see Virginia winning but being this is a Conference title game and Virginia is very talented and has a stingy defense i dont see this being a 4 TD beat down.
Prop Bet: Wisconsin vs Ohio St
Ohio State will be the first team to score (-129)
Wisconsin is always dangerous to strike first because of RB Jonathan Taylor and their defense who are one of the better scoring units in the nation putting up 4 defensive touchdowns this season. However, the Buckeyes are one of the most explosive teams in the country and with JK Dobbins and Justin Fields i will take my chances with them striking first.
This is going to be a great few days of conference Championships that will be setting the table for Bowl season. Have some fun and lets make that money!
Conference Championship Picks
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