Coming out of the University of Oregon is a fantastic Quarterback named Justin Herbert. Herbert was considered a highly touted prospect going into last year’s Draft and he was expected to declare. But to much surprise, he ended up staying for his senior year. This year Herbert is still considered to be a first-round Quarterback. Let’s take a closer look at this prospect.
The Good About Herbert
One of the qualities that makes Herbert such a highly desired thrower is because he has one of the strongest arms in this Draft. Because of his strength, he can make a throw to any spot on the field and he can fit the ball in really tight spots. Another quality that really stands out in his skill set is his pocket presence. He has one of the best senses of pocket presence in this Draft. Whenever he senses the pocket collapsing around him he steps up, or he rolls out and keeps the play alive. His initial instinct is not to run but to look for a play down the field. This is an excellent quality in a Quarterback about to go pro. When he does scramble, he can also really gash defenses.
The Bad About Herbert
One of the biggest issues that Herbert needs to fix, is his inaccuracy with his throws. He has the ability to make all the throws but he has issues with overthrowing or under throwing his targets. When Herbert is allowed to sit back in the pocket he can really shred a defense apart. However, when he gets pressured he doesn’t set his feet and it causes his throws to go off course. At this stage in his career, it wouldn’t be wise to trust him to fit balls into tight windows. This is the biggest knock that teams will have on him. He cannot fit the ball into tight spaces on a regular basis. There are questions about whether or not he can transition from a high-speed Oregon offense to an NFL offense. Oregon’s offense is fast-paced and doesn’t require too many reads for him.
The Pro Comparison I have is honestly Mitch Trubisky. Trubisky, when he came out of UNC, had some raw talent that needed to be refined. And honestly, he is still refining his craft. He has moments that are great and others that are less than great. I see some of that with Herbert. Herbert has some great traits that will transition well into the NFL, he just needs to refine his craft.
Final Thoughts/Round Projection
I have Herbert going early in the first round. I think he is a Top 15 pick and will likely go inside the top ten. He has a lot of great strengths and intangibles. He shows great leadership, and he has a lot of great qualities that will transition well to the NFL. It is hard to see Herbert catching on fire from the first time he steps on the field. It will take a few years of developing to come into his own but eventually, he will be a consistent starter for the NFL. Expect Herbert to go fairly early on Day One.
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